Scorecard
Did the line hold?
Every line is published before the report, locks at the close before it, and settles on the reaction close. If the stock moves more than the line, it broke it. The line is the average move options expect, so even a fairly priced one breaks a bit under half the time.
Lines settled43
Held70%30 of 43
Broke30%13 of 43
Actual move vs line0.78×
| Ticker | Date | Implied | Actual | Delta | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TRVThe Travelers Companies | Fri Oct 16 | ±3.3% | +1.5% | −1.8 pts | Held |
| TFCTruist Financial | Fri Oct 16 | ±3.8% | +1.1% | −2.7 pts | Held |
| MTBM&T Bank | Fri Oct 16 | ±3.1% | −1.5% | −1.5 pts | Held |
| CFGCitizens Financial Group | Fri Oct 16 | ±3.5% | −0.1% | −3.4 pts | Held |
| TSMTaiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing | Thu Oct 15 | ±3.1% | −1.8% | −1.3 pts | Held |
| SCHWThe Charles Schwab | Thu Oct 15 | ±3.6% | −2.7% | −0.9 pts | Held |
| PLDPrologis | Thu Oct 15 | ±2.8% | −2.7% | −0.1 pts | Held |
| BNYThe Bank Of New York Mellon | Thu Oct 15 | ±3.4% | +3.2% | −0.2 pts | Held |
| USBU.S. Bancorp | Thu Oct 15 | ±2.7% | +2.0% | −0.7 pts | Held |
| PNCPNC Financial Services Group | Thu Oct 15 | ±3.0% | −0.4% | −2.6 pts | Held |
| MRSHMarsh | Thu Oct 15 | ±2.8% | +4.6% | +1.8 pts | Broke |
| IBKRInteractive Brokers Group | Thu Oct 15 | ±4.2% | −3.9% | −0.3 pts | Held |
| ERICEricsson | Thu Oct 15 | ±9.2% | +11.8% | +2.6 pts | Broke |
| FHNFirst Horizon | Thu Oct 15 | ±4.4% | +0.8% | −3.6 pts | Held |
| AAAlcoa | Thu Oct 15 | ±4.4% | +2.5% | −1.8 pts | Held |
| CMCCommercial Metals | Thu Oct 15 | ±4.6% | +0.1% | −4.5 pts | Held |
| ASMLASML Holding | Wed Oct 14 | ±4.4% | −3.9% | −0.5 pts | Held |
| BACBank of America | Wed Oct 14 | ±2.0% | −4.8% | +2.8 pts | Broke |
| MSMorgan Stanley | Wed Oct 14 | ±3.3% | −2.7% | −0.6 pts | Held |
| BLKBlackRock | Wed Oct 14 | ±4.4% | +0.7% | −3.6 pts | Held |
| PGRProgressive | Wed Oct 14 | ±3.0% | −4.2% | +1.2 pts | Broke |
| FASTFastenal | Wed Oct 14 | ±5.4% | +1.1% | −4.3 pts | Held |
| STTState Street | Wed Oct 14 | ±3.8% | −4.1% | +0.4 pts | Broke |
| JPMJ P Morgan Chase | Tue Oct 13 | ±2.4% | −0.9% | −1.5 pts | Held |
| JNJJohnson & Johnson | Tue Oct 13 | ±2.8% | −5.7% | +2.9 pts | Broke |
| UNHUnitedHealth Group | Tue Oct 13 | ±6.0% | −0.2% | −5.8 pts | Held |
| GSThe Goldman Sachs Group | Tue Oct 13 | ±3.1% | −0.2% | −2.9 pts | Held |
| CCitigroup | Tue Oct 13 | ±3.1% | −5.6% | +2.5 pts | Broke |
| DPZDomino's Pizza | Tue Oct 13 | ±5.9% | −4.8% | −1.2 pts | Held |
| ACIAlbertsons Companies | Tue Oct 13 | ±7.3% | +1.4% | −5.8 pts | Held |
| AZZAZZ | Tue Oct 13 | ±5.3% | +0.7% | −4.6 pts | Held |
| DALDelta Air Lines | Fri Oct 9 | ±4.1% | +0.0% | −4.0 pts | Held |
| PEPPepsico | Thu Oct 8 | ±3.0% | +3.7% | +0.7 pts | Broke |
| APLDApplied Digital | Wed Oct 7 | ±9.0% | +0.2% | −8.8 pts | Held |
| ACNAccenture | Thu Oct 1 | ±6.5% | +15.8% | +9.3 pts | Broke |
| MUMicron Technology | Wed Sep 30 | ±6.1% | +3.0% | −3.1 pts | Held |
| JBLJabil | Wed Sep 30 | ±7.1% | −10.0% | +3.0 pts | Broke |
| CAGConAgra Brands | Wed Sep 30 | ±4.4% | −4.9% | +0.5 pts | Broke |
| CCLCarnival | Tue Sep 29 | ±5.7% | +13.4% | +7.7 pts | Broke |
| UECUranium Energy | Tue Sep 29 | ±6.8% | +0.9% | −5.9 pts | Held |
| COSTCostco Wholesale | Thu Sep 24 | ±2.8% | +2.9% | +0.2 pts | Broke |
| BBBlackBerry | Thu Sep 24 | ±12.8% | +4.2% | −8.6 pts | Held |
| CTASCintas | Wed Sep 23 | ±4.4% | −2.5% | −1.9 pts | Held |
Delta is the actual move, up or down, minus the line. Positive means the stock moved more than options priced. Download every result (CSV)